Ariana Arseneault vs Lea Ma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Ma's recent second serve performance indicates winning 39.9% of points, whereas Arseneault secures 41.1%. Could this slight edge influence the match's outcome?
• Regarding returns on second serves, Arseneault has a slight advantage with 50.69% success compared to Ma's 49.08%.
• In first serve returns, Arseneault again leads with 32.5% over Ma's 30.37%. These stats are often predictive of match winners.
• Under pressure, Ma excels in saving 50.86% of breakpoints, outpacing Arseneault's 44.17% save rate.
• The overall performance shows Ma with a 63.16% win rate over the past year, slightly higher than Arseneault's 61.9%.
• Both players perform best on indoor hard courts, but Ma has a superior winning percentage of 64%, compared to Arseneault's 55%.
• At the Challengers/ITF level, Ma and Arseneault have similar experience, with Ma winning 63.16% of their matches.
• Direct head-to-head encounters favor Arseneault, who has won the only match between the two, in straight sets.
• Ma faces tougher opponents on average, with an opponent average rank of 249.84, slightly above Arseneault's 235.62.
• In deciding sets, Ma has a better track record, winning 53% compared to Arseneault's 45%.
• Both have similar proficiency in breakpoint conversion, with Arseneault having a marginal lead at 45.74% to Ma's 45.54%.

Editorial Prediction (June 30, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Ma and Arseneault promises to be a closely contested battle based on recent statistics.

Although Ma has a slightly higher overall win rate and stronger performance in deciding sets, Arseneault's edge in return games and head-to-head record may provide a subtle advantage.

Arseneault's historical victory over Ma on the same surface adds weight to their prospects, suggesting a slight favoritism.

Despite Ma's better performance under pressure and superior results on indoor hard courts, the trends point toward Arseneault as the likely victor in this encounter.

Given these facts, Arseneault is slightly more favored to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.